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Red62
21939.6
495431.5
543816.5
Blue93
192330.4
86936.6
566613.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8869204060801001201401601806293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#6
39.60.4
39.839.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 3.1
869
#7
36.60.5
34.735.2
Auto1.4
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
31.50.4
31.731.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
1923
#15
30.40.5
28.529.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
5438
#16
16.50.4
16.716.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.8
5666
#25
13.70.5
11.812.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0