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Red98
139117.5
192330.4
428127.1
Blue158
198925.4
21939.6
495431.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6188010015020025098158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
30.41.5
26.928.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 9.3
219
#6
39.63.6
36.239.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
4281
#21
27.11.5
25.527.1
Auto0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 4.4
31.53.6
28.131.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
1391
#29
17.51.5
14.616.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 7.9
25.43.6
22.325.9
Auto1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0