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Red54
334016.8
1369.9
428534.7
Blue70
180716.5
331437.6
86936.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529301502005470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.3
33.733.4
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3314
#11
37.60.7
36.936.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
3340
#24
16.80.3
16.115.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 19.7
869
#7
36.60.7
35.334.7
Auto1.4
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
136
#31
9.90.3
10.39.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
1807
#26
16.50.7
17.216.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0