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Red102
21939.6
495431.5
543816.5
Blue35
223432.2
198925.4
71418.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867320406010012014016010235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#6
39.60.3
39.439.6
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 7.5
2234
#12
32.20.7
32.932.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
31.50.3
31.331.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
red by 6.2
25.40.7
26.125.4
Auto1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
5438
#16
16.50.3
16.316.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
714
#18
18.30.7
19.018.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0