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Red179
259065.3
30371.2
334016.8
Blue58
192330.4
86936.6
566613.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16062010020025017958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
71.20.5
70.170.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop71.6
End0.0
red by 34.6
869
#7
36.60.4
36.235.9
Auto1.4
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
65.30.5
64.264.6
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 34.9
1923
#15
30.40.4
30.129.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
3340
#24
16.80.5
15.716.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
5666
#25
13.70.4
13.413.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0