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Red43
566613.7
24586.2
259065.3
Blue49
71418.3
125725.4
2537.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65562040801001204349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.31.1
53.952.7
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 28.3
25
#8
37.00.2
28.127.9
Auto0.6
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
5666
#25
13.71.1
6.45.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 11.7
1257
#22
25.40.2
19.519.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
2458
#34
6.21.1
5.64.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 12.1
714
#18
18.30.2
11.911.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0