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Red11
8968.1
139117.5
21939.6
Blue46
1369.9
446025.1
331437.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61602040801001146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#6
39.62.5
35.132.6
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 2.0
3314
#11
37.60.9
34.833.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
1391
#29
17.52.5
16.413.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4460
#20
25.10.9
22.621.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
896
#32
8.12.5
9.67.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
136
#31
9.90.9
6.96.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0