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Red24
198925.4
8968.1
75212.5
Blue62
209512.7
495431.5
207013.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001001502002502462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.4
15.915.5
Auto1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 6.2
31.51.1
19.320.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Second
752
#27
12.50.7
10.09.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2070
#28
13.61.1
10.912.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
896
#32
8.10.4
6.25.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2095
#30
12.71.1
9.710.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0