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Red78
446025.1
192330.4
334016.8
Blue134
331437.6
259065.3
543816.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50104015020078134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#15
30.40.9
26.026.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 34.9
65.31.7
57.659.4
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
4460
#20
25.10.9
23.524.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3314
#11
37.61.7
33.234.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Third
3340
#24
16.80.9
10.911.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 0.3
5438
#16
16.51.7
8.710.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0