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Red88
457329.4
139117.5
223432.2
Blue131
192330.4
259065.3
562425.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58121010015020025088131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#12
32.20.9
29.330.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 33.1
65.30.8
65.566.3
Auto2.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
4573
#14
29.40.9
28.429.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1923
#15
30.40.8
26.126.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
1391
#29
17.50.9
12.413.3
Auto0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5624
#13
25.30.8
23.724.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.5
End0.0