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Red130
331437.6
428534.7
562425.3
Blue64
207013.6
125725.4
180716.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9645015020013064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#11
37.61.9
35.036.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 12.2
1257
#22
25.40.8
24.925.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
34.71.9
31.733.7
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 18.2
1807
#26
16.50.8
16.417.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
5624
#13
25.31.9
24.526.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 11.7
2070
#28
13.60.8
13.314.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0