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Red76
543816.5
223432.2
75212.5
Blue98
566613.7
21939.6
32132.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507601001502007698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#12
32.21.0
30.231.2
Auto1.4
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 7.5
219
#6
39.61.2
35.136.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Second
5438
#16
16.51.0
14.615.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 15.8
321
#19
32.31.2
29.030.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
752
#27
12.51.2
11.512.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5666
#25
13.71.2
10.912.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0