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Red54
201631.6
20342.5
4119.4
Blue60
31632.4
568423.2
272918.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95660501502005460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#4
42.50.7
42.742.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 10.1
316
#11
32.40.2
32.232.0
Auto0.8
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
31.60.7
31.831.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
23.20.2
23.122.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
41
#21
19.40.7
19.619.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 1.1
2729
#26
18.20.2
18.117.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0