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Red89
22321.7
164738.9
255922.0
Blue45
21933.6
219125.3
83424.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818040601001201408945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.1
38.438.5
Auto0.9
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 5.3
219
#8
33.60.7
34.433.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
2559
#28
22.00.1
21.421.6
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
25.30.7
26.125.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
223
#13
21.70.1
21.221.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
834
#15
24.10.7
24.924.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0