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Red0
24585.8
249517.6
272918.2
Blue24
351519.5
127917.3
20423.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5046020406080024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#26
18.22.0
23.121.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
204
#16
23.30.9
18.017.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
2495
#24
17.62.0
19.117.1
Auto0.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3515
#20
19.51.5
9.78.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
2458
#37
5.83.3
9.25.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 11.5
1279
#30
17.30.9
20.319.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.1
End0.0