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Red106
568423.2
218020.8
219125.3
Blue71
316710.2
20342.5
255922.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377905010015020010671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.33.0
13.516.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 17.2
203
#4
42.50.2
37.237.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
23.23.0
15.318.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
2559
#28
22.00.2
21.621.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
2180
#12
20.83.0
16.519.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
3167
#34
10.20.2
16.416.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0