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Red22
201631.6
542015.1
42315.0
Blue14
56667.1
61316.5
81626.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5640020801001201402214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.7
30.328.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 5.0
816
#10
26.61.5
25.924.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5420
#27
15.12.8
11.68.8
Auto1.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
613
#23
16.52.5
10.17.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
423
#25
15.02.8
13.510.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 7.9
5666
#35
7.12.5
8.35.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0