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Red94
20423.3
56667.1
164738.9
Blue101
201631.6
272918.2
36071.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49442040608010094101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.2
27.429.6
Auto0.9
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 7.3
31.62.7
29.332.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
204
#16
23.32.2
18.921.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 5.1
2729
#26
18.22.7
18.721.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
5666
#35
7.13.7
3.57.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 5.9
3607
#36
1.22.7
-1.51.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0