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Red8
179112.4
8712.7
316710.2
Blue11
542015.1
4119.4
255922.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500100150200811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87
#32
12.71.3
15.113.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 9.2
2559
#28
22.01.9
22.320.5
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
1791
#29
12.42.2
5.43.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
41
#21
19.41.9
15.713.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
3167
#34
10.21.3
14.413.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5420
#27
15.13.1
10.67.4
Auto1.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0