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Red54
164057.1
31632.4
249517.6
Blue65
180716.0
108930.4
219125.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995101502005465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.12.1
47.845.7
Auto0.3
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 26.7
30.40.2
26.626.8
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
316
#11
32.42.1
30.828.7
Auto0.8
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 7.1
25.30.2
18.919.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
2495
#24
17.62.1
16.714.6
Auto0.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
1807
#18
16.00.4
15.115.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0