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Red72
218020.8
22321.7
2528.6
Blue2
511317.7
564014.4
24585.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7328050100150722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#17
28.60.2
29.029.1
Auto0.4
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 10.9
5113
#31
17.71.4
17.616.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
223
#13
21.70.2
17.217.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 7.3
5640
#22
14.41.4
12.411.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
2180
#12
20.80.2
22.622.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 15.0
2458
#37
5.82.4
6.44.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0