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Red117
81626.6
21933.6
568423.2
Blue154
20342.5
121855.4
351519.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76754060100120140117154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#8
33.62.0
34.536.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 21.8
55.43.7
40.243.9
Auto0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
816
#10
26.62.0
22.924.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 15.9
203
#4
42.53.7
34.338.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
23.22.0
19.321.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
3515
#20
19.56.2
5.611.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0