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Red49
316710.2
315119.5
201631.6
Blue122
20423.3
121855.4
180716.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5083010015020049122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
32.131.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 23.8
55.42.1
43.946.0
Auto0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
3151
#19
19.50.6
11.610.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
204
#16
23.32.1
21.123.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
3167
#34
10.20.4
13.012.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1807
#18
16.03.5
15.519.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0