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Red24
511317.7
2528.6
127917.3
Blue112
164738.9
20342.5
36071.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636220408010012024112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#17
28.61.4
27.025.6
Auto0.4
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 13.9
203
#4
42.52.3
37.640.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
5113
#31
17.71.4
16.214.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 21.2
38.92.3
27.429.8
Auto0.9
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
1279
#30
17.31.4
20.318.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 16.1
3607
#36
1.22.3
0.22.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0