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Red113
42315.0
31632.4
219125.3
Blue44
4119.4
61316.5
24585.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65210408010012014011344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#11
32.42.6
30.032.6
Auto0.8
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 13.0
41
#21
19.40.8
12.813.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Second
25.32.6
18.120.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
613
#23
16.51.2
10.111.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
423
#25
15.04.1
12.816.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
2458
#37
5.81.2
5.87.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0