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Red68
249517.6
42315.0
108930.4
Blue94
218020.8
21933.6
564014.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62612040801006894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
28.128.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
219
#8
33.61.4
31.332.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
2495
#24
17.60.3
17.317.6
Auto0.7
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2180
#12
20.81.4
20.321.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
423
#25
15.00.4
16.016.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 0.5
5640
#22
14.41.4
13.915.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0