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Red31
219125.3
272918.2
351519.5
Blue46
218020.8
42315.0
316710.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694401001503146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.8
24.822.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
2180
#12
20.80.2
21.721.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
3515
#20
19.52.3
22.420.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 4.6
423
#25
15.00.2
16.516.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
2729
#26
18.21.8
20.819.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 8.0
3167
#34
10.20.2
11.311.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0