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Red68
542015.1
127917.3
568423.2
Blue86
255922.0
21933.6
108930.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498701001502006886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
23.023.6
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 10.4
219
#8
33.60.1
32.732.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
1279
#30
17.30.6
18.218.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 13.1
30.40.1
28.428.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
5420
#27
15.10.7
15.416.1
Auto1.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 6.9
2559
#28
22.00.1
22.923.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0