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Red78
564014.4
56667.1
20342.5
Blue58
180716.0
8712.7
83424.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6747020801001201401607858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#4
42.50.6
44.445.0
Auto0.8
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 18.4
834
#15
24.10.3
21.421.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
5640
#22
14.40.6
15.315.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.5
1807
#18
16.00.4
16.116.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5666
#35
7.10.7
6.27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
87
#32
12.70.3
14.014.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0