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Red50
315119.5
4119.4
2528.6
Blue32
61316.5
218020.8
179112.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613102040801001201405032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#17
28.60.4
30.930.5
Auto0.4
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 7.8
2180
#12
20.80.3
16.816.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
3151
#19
19.50.7
11.711.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 3.1
613
#23
16.50.4
10.510.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
41
#21
19.40.4
16.015.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 7.0
1791
#29
12.40.4
9.99.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0