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Red12
83424.1
511317.7
545722.4
Blue10
36071.2
8712.7
255922.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483802060801001201210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#15
24.11.5
19.417.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
2559
#28
22.01.5
23.121.6
Auto0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
5457
#14
22.42.5
9.26.7
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 9.7
87
#32
12.71.7
16.715.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
5113
#31
17.71.5
19.818.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
3607
#36
1.21.5
1.1-0.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop1.2
End0.0