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Red98
20423.3
511317.7
21933.6
Blue115
219125.3
179112.4
83424.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694902040608010012014016098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#8
33.61.5
32.834.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
25.33.1
22.926.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
204
#16
23.31.5
21.823.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
834
#15
24.13.1
21.724.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
5113
#31
17.71.5
13.414.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 5.3
1791
#29
12.43.4
9.012.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0