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Red50
351519.5
568423.2
180716.0
Blue116
61316.5
164738.9
545722.4
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5669010015020025030050116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
23.623.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 15.6
38.92.3
35.537.8
Auto0.9
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
3515
#20
19.50.6
20.119.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5457
#14
22.42.6
20.422.9
Auto0.8
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
1807
#18
16.00.6
16.516.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 0.5
613
#23
16.52.6
13.916.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0