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Red10
127917.3
564014.4
26004.0
Blue22
542015.1
316710.2
272918.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384601001502002503003504001022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#30
17.31.5
18.817.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
2729
#26
18.20.9
19.018.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
5640
#22
14.41.5
15.914.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5420
#27
15.11.0
16.115.1
Auto1.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
2600
#33
4.01.5
5.54.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3167
#34
10.20.9
11.110.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0