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Red62
324527.7
301922.2
349528.0
Blue18
414117.4
501211.9
300928.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785301001506218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#19
28.00.5
25.124.6
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3009
#10
28.22.0
28.226.1
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
3245
#14
27.70.5
30.630.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 10.3
4141
#11
17.43.4
17.313.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
3019
#23
22.20.5
21.420.9
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
5012
#41
11.92.0
13.411.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0