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Red136
542921.4
330946.5
116022.7
Blue18
98811.4
432220.0
513411.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60260408010012014016013618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.54.4
27.331.7
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 26.5
4322
#18
20.00.8
11.911.1
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
1160
#22
22.74.4
18.122.5
Auto0.4
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
5134
#37
11.80.7
7.46.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
5429
#21
21.46.6
11.518.1
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 9.9
988
#39
11.41.2
13.212.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0