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Red6
513411.8
50490.2
301118.0
Blue35
480015.9
203421.7
6057.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473050100150200250635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3011
#28
18.01.6
13.812.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 39.4
60
#3
57.41.6
42.140.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
5134
#37
11.81.6
9.88.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 9.9
2034
#17
21.72.7
14.511.8
Auto2.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
5049
#40
0.22.2
8.76.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0
blue by 15.7
4800
#34
15.92.7
11.48.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0