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Red106
300928.2
116022.7
81220.9
Blue100
349528.0
247824.3
125133.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51740100150200106100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
28.23.0
26.729.7
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 5.5
33.71.3
24.525.8
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
1160
#22
22.73.3
14.818.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
3495
#19
28.01.6
22.824.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
812
#25
20.94.1
15.319.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2478
#24
24.31.3
26.127.4
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0