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Red67
14885.2
298413.7
357717.5
Blue66
330946.5
441517.7
501211.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914901502002506766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
85.21.3
64.363.0
Auto8.8
Teleop76.5
End0.0
red by 38.7
46.51.0
25.726.6
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
3577
#20
17.51.8
9.27.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4415
#38
17.71.0
18.419.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
2984
#30
13.71.8
14.813.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
5012
#41
11.90.7
13.514.2
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0