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Red28
546316.7
432220.0
301922.2
Blue22
530616.7
5859.0
34122.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060802822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#23
22.20.7
20.820.1
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
341
#33
22.41.0
19.518.5
Auto0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
4322
#18
20.00.9
12.911.9
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 3.4
5306
#35
16.71.7
7.86.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5463
#32
16.79.4
16.77.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
585
#42
9.01.3
15.514.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End0.0