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Red45
166118.8
542921.4
99118.2
Blue31
548014.1
84231.9
59722.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305701001502004531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5429
#21
21.411.4
20.79.3
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 10.6
842
#9
31.91.2
23.222.0
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
1661
#26
18.80.7
16.917.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 3.5
597
#27
22.31.2
23.021.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
991
#12
18.20.8
9.810.6
Auto0.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.1
5480
#31
14.17.5
14.16.5
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0