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Qual 232015 Las Vegas Regional
Red80
545119.3
501211.9
84231.9
Blue46
546316.7
519924.7
479213.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494830406070808046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#9
31.91.5
22.9→24.3
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 7.2
5199
#7
24.70.4
21.9→21.6
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
5451
#13
19.32.4
16.7→19.2
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
5463
#32
16.70.4
9.8→9.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5012
#41
11.91.5
11.4→12.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4792
#36
13.30.2
18.5→18.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0