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Qual 242015 Las Vegas Regional
Red22
432220.0
480015.9
544514.7
Blue114
298413.7
6057.4
300928.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239305015020022114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#18
20.00.7
11.1→10.5
Auto0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 37.4
60
#3
57.41.4
44.3→45.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
4800
#34
15.91.1
10.8→9.7
Auto1.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3009
#10
28.21.4
26.1→27.6
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
5445
#29
14.71.1
13.2→12.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
2984
#30
13.72.4
15.0→17.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0