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Red72
330946.5
347316.3
81220.9
Blue66
59722.3
99118.2
68721.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6445020801001201401607266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.4
31.732.2
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 24.2
597
#27
22.30.8
22.323.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
812
#25
20.90.7
17.418.2
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
687
#16
21.50.8
17.518.3
Auto1.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
3473
#15
16.30.4
14.114.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
991
#12
18.21.3
10.111.5
Auto0.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0