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Red74
301118.0
546316.7
34122.4
Blue75
544514.7
125133.7
519924.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36640501001502007475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#33
22.41.6
18.119.7
Auto0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 11.3
33.70.7
28.228.9
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
3011
#28
18.01.6
14.215.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.7
24.71.1
21.622.7
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
5463
#32
16.72.7
9.412.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
5445
#29
14.71.1
12.113.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.0