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Red31
50490.2
182829.9
300928.2
Blue78
301922.2
330946.5
548014.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625402040801001203178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.6
28.627.1
Auto0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 16.6
46.51.1
31.332.4
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
3009
#10
28.21.6
27.325.8
Auto0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 6.0
3019
#23
22.21.1
20.121.1
Auto1.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5049
#40
0.22.6
6.74.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0
blue by 13.9
5480
#31
14.11.8
5.67.3
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0