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Red64
84231.9
414117.4
203421.7
Blue36
81220.9
530616.7
357717.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5539020801001201401606436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#9
31.90.8
22.923.6
Auto4.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 11.0
812
#25
20.90.6
15.615.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
2034
#17
21.71.3
21.022.3
Auto2.2
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
3577
#20
17.50.6
13.312.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
4141
#11
17.41.3
10.511.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
5306
#35
16.70.6
14.013.4
Auto1.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0