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Qual 472015 Las Vegas Regional
Red64
247824.3
99118.2
546316.7
Blue3
513411.8
479213.3
5859.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204080100120140160643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#24
24.30.6
26.8→27.4
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 11.0
4792
#36
13.31.4
19.5→18.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Second
991
#12
18.20.9
15.9→16.9
Auto0.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 6.4
5134
#37
11.81.4
10.7→9.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
5463
#32
16.70.9
10.2→11.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
585
#42
9.01.4
6.7→5.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End0.0