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Qual 482015 Las Vegas Regional
Red42
542921.4
349528.0
480015.9
Blue9
519924.7
501211.9
166118.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45550100150200250300429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#19
28.00.3
25.4→25.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
5199
#7
24.73.9
26.0→22.1
Auto1.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
5429
#21
21.40.5
17.8→17.3
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
1661
#26
18.82.3
19.4→17.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4800
#34
15.90.5
5.2→4.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 4.0
5012
#41
11.92.3
10.5→8.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0