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Qual 502015 Las Vegas Regional
Red72
59722.3
298413.7
182829.9
Blue37
50490.2
98811.4
247824.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6238020801001201401607237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#6
29.90.6
27.1→27.6
Auto0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
2478
#24
24.30.3
27.4→27.1
Auto0.8
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
597
#27
22.30.6
21.5→22.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 10.8
988
#39
11.40.5
11.5→11.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
2984
#30
13.70.9
12.1→13.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 13.6
5049
#40
0.20.5
4.0→3.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.0